Development & Evidence
Working components, analytical examples and test records. A prototype still under development.
These figures summarise dated records, not live counters or an independent audit.
- 2,113,152 raw signal records
- Includes repeated records. This is not a count of unique news articles.
- 52,008 extracted claims
- Extracted from source material; not all are independently verified facts.
- 741 passed · 37 failed · 6 skipped
- Packaged software test run, including unresolved failures.
- Forecast accuracy and customer impact have not yet been validated.
- Recorded forecasts have not yet been resolved and scored. Early-warning performance also remains unvalidated.
Work completed so far
The research archive includes source-linked analytical examples, human-review records, forecast update histories and daily digests, with an initial focus on Iran and the Gulf.
Research briefs →Next milestones
- Investigate remaining test failures.
- Evaluate source-to-claim accuracy and evidence retrieval.
- Establish repeatable analytical production and review.
- Resolve and score forecasts against outcomes.
- Prepare a focused expert pilot and measure usefulness.